Sofia Kenin vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Sofia Kenin's recent second serve points won stand at 39.58%, just below Ekaterina Alexandrova's 40.14%. How significant is this gap? It's slight but noteworthy for predicting match outcomes.
• On return games recently, Kenin won 46.80% of opponents' second serve points, while Alexandrova surpassed her with 50.00%.
• First serve return points are close, with Kenin at 28.83% and Alexandrova at 29.54%, suggesting Alexandrova has a marginal edge.
• Kenin has been better at saving breakpoints, with a saving rate of 55.91%, compared to Alexandrova's 46.73%. Could this be crucial in pivotal moments? Likely so.
• In match win percentage over the past year, Kenin has 57.38%, while Alexandrova is stronger at 66.20%.
• Kenin excels on grass with a 60% win rate, whereas Alexandrova favors indoor hard courts with the same percentage.
• Both players have primarily played on the Main tour, with Kenin winning 63.64% of these matches and Alexandrova 73.68%, suggesting Alexandrova has a higher success rate.
• Head-to-head, Alexandrova has a 1-0 record against Kenin, with two sets to one total in their direct encounters.
• In the past year, Alexandrova faced higher-ranked opponents with an average ranking of 56.2, compared to Kenin's 78.72.
• When matches go to a deciding set, Kenin has a slight edge winning 50% of them, while Alexandrova has won 47%.

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

Evaluating their recent performances and head-to-head history gives a clear picture of their current form. Ekaterina Alexandrova has a slight advantage in terms of second serve efficacy and has a better return game, which might be crucial in gaining upper hand during the match.

Sofia Kenin’s strength lies in her breakpoint saving ability, indicating potential resilience during pressure situations. However, she is slightly behind Alexandrova in overall performance metrics on the Main tour.

In past direct encounters, Alexandrova has had the upper hand, winning the only match they played against each other comprehensively. Kenin might capitalize on her superior performance in grass surfaces, but as the upcoming match is not on grass, it's less likely to impact heavily.

Taking all factors into account, Ekaterina Alexandrova seems favored to win this match due to her slightly better stats and direct match record advantage over Sofia Kenin.